💸 Tax tantrums

Business lobbies want the government’s surprise tax hike to be overturned. Real income figures could hint towards a slowdown. And Congress wants to rewrite the definition of terrorism.

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Business leaders push back against surprise tax hike

Finance Minister Fernando Haddad (center) has tried to calm markets down after a surprise tax hike. Photo: Diogo Zacarias/MF

Finance Minister Fernando Haddad (center) has tried to calm markets down after a surprise tax hike. Photo: Diogo Zacarias/MF

In a rare show of unity, Brazil’s leading business lobbies — spanning industries from agriculture to finance — are urging Congress to overturn a surprise tax hike announced by the government last week. At issue is an increase to the IOF, a transaction tax levied on credit, foreign exchange and insurance operations (see more details here). The move has triggered immediate and strong backlash from the markets.

The Lula administration says the tax adjustments are necessary to erase discrepancies in how the tax is levied — but many see it simply as a way to boost revenue. Critics also argue the plan is short-sighted and could undermine private investment, deepen uncertainty and slow growth at a time when businesses are already grappling with Brazil’s prohibitively high interest rates — the Selic benchmark rate stands at 14.75%.

“This is a cumulative tax that punishes companies for borrowing,” Luis Otávio Leal, chief economist at G5 Partners, told the press this week. “The bigger players might be able to finance through capital markets. But small and mid-sized firms, which rely on bank credit, will take the hit.”

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A MESSAGE FROM THE BRAZILIAN REPORT

It’s tomorrow!

For decades, Brazil’s political system has been described as one of “coalition presidentialism” — an arrangement in which the president governs by building alliances with multiple parties, often through the strategic distribution of cabinet posts and budgetary incentives. But that model appears to be under increasing strain.

To examine whether this system is collapsing or merely evolving, The Brazilian Report's editor-in-chief, Gustavo Ribeiro, is hosting an unmissable round table with Claudio Couto and Carlos Pereira, two leading political scientists from the Getulio Vargas Foundation.

📅 Wednesday, May 28: 11 am (Brazil time: GMT-3), 10 am EST

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