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COLOMBIA

De la Espriella heads to runoff as favorite over Cepeda

Abelardo De La Espriella’s first-round score surprised many in Colombia. He addressed supporters behind bulletproof glass. Photo: Charlie Cordero/Reuters/Folhapress

As we flagged in last week’s preview of Colombia’s election, the chances of right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella rose steadily in the lead-up to the vote. Not only did the latest polls put him head-to-head with the government-backed candidate, Iván Cepeda, but his rise in prediction markets after the May 25 polling blackout suggested that unpublished surveys rated him even higher.

The quick vote count last Sunday confirmed that the trend was real: with 100% of votes counted, De la Espriella took…

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