Brazil's 2026 Elections

A curated breakdown of the key developments, political dynamics, and perspectives shaping Brazil’s 2026 elections.

Mar 1, 2026

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12 min read

✝️ A Christian struggle

Religious voters have become increasingly decisive in Brazilian politics — as well as a chronic challenge for the left.

Isabela Cruz

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Feb 27, 2026

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14 min read

🐓 Coming home to roost

Lula’s son is to have his tax and banking record scrutinized in the INSS probe. Haddad caves, and is set to run for São Paulo governor. Nuclear power’s short-term future in Brazil is one of delays.

Gustavo Ribeiro

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Feb 26, 2026

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16 min read

🔍 A Senate side quest

A Senate inquiry wants to take Master investigations into its own hands. Bad news for Lula with the latest Atlas Intel poll. The masterminds of Marielle Franco’s assassination are finally convicted.

Gustavo Ribeiro

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Feb 20, 2026

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18 min read

🛢 Keeping an eye on oil

Lula could broach the subject of Venezuelan oil in his meeting with Trump. Lula and Modi show different (but not opposing) AI approaches. A Freitas-Kassab rift in São Paulo risks more than bruising egos.

Letícia Arcoverde, +1

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Feb 14, 2026

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11 min read

🎊 Lula’s risky parade

A samba school’s adoring tribute to Brazil’s president has the political class watching — and conservatives fuming.

Isabela Cruz

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Feb 12, 2026

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16 min read

🧨 It’s starting to hit the fan

Data from Vorcaro’s phone. Polls bring good news for Flávio. Car Wash-targets seek to rebuild.

Gustavo Ribeiro

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Feb 11, 2026

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16 min read

📊 Poll position

Questions are raised about a new opinion poll. Who will be Lula’s running mate? Can Brazil absorb the costs of trimming the workweek?

Gustavo Ribeiro

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Feb 5, 2026

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3 min read

🎙️ Podcast: Brasília enters an election year on edge

Power plays, legal risks and why timing matters more than ever

Euan Marshall

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Feb 5, 2026

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19 min read

🇷🇺 Fueling around

Brazil-Russia commission to meet for the first time since 2015. More back and forth over the EU-Mercosur deal. A look at the PSD power project.

Gustavo Ribeiro, +2

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Feb 3, 2026

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16 min read

🫴 What Lula wants

Lula’s to-do list for his meeting with Trump. Are markets right to complain about the government’s likely Central Bank pick? Brazil is still vastly unequal, despite advances.

Gustavo Ribeiro

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Feb 1, 2026

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9 min read

👑 Brazil’s political dynasties

Brazilian politics has always been a family business. But the Bolsonaros have taken that to another level.

Isabela Cruz

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Jan 29, 2026

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17 min read

🗓️ Save the rate cut date

No rate cuts yet, but soon? A Brazilian business delegation embarks on an Africa roadshow. Haddad is accused of not being a team player.

Letícia Arcoverde, +1

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Jan 28, 2026

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15 min read

🌎 Regional realpolitik

How Lula plans to see eye to eye with ideologically opposed leaders in South America. A presidential hopeful changes parties. A data adequacy deal increases cooperation between Brazil and the EU.

Gustavo Ribeiro

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Jan 25, 2026

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12 min read

🤖 Chatbots and the ballot box

Brazilian experts have been worried about the effects of AI on voters for some time now. In 2026, their fears could materialize.

Isabela Cruz

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Jan 23, 2026

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19 min read

🤯 A new end of the world?

Will the Banco Master case result in a plea deal? Tarcísio de Freitas’s plan of ambiguity comes apart. Charges in the Americanas fraud case.

Gustavo Ribeiro, +1

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Jan 21, 2026

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15 min read

🔮 Careful CEO optimism

The latest edition of PwC’s Global CEO Survey. Petrobras is getting a new wave of ships. Freitas flakes on meeting Bolsonaro in prison.

Gustavo Ribeiro

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