Brazil's 2026 Elections

A curated breakdown of the key developments, political dynamics, and perspectives shaping Brazil’s 2026 elections.

Apr 16, 2026

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9 min read

🪨 A Petrobras for rare earths?

Proposals to create a state-owned firm for critical minerals. Brazil issues euro-denominated bonds. Lula tests talking points with friendly interviews.

Gustavo Ribeiro, +1

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Apr 15, 2026

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13 min read

📊 Improved growth projections

Brazil’s growth forecasts are up, even with the oil shock. Flávio Bolsonaro faces heat for libel. Inquiry votes down report calling for justice indictments.

Gustavo Ribeiro

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Apr 13, 2026

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15 min read

🔍 Following the money

An intelligence-sharing deal with the US. What Brazil can learn from elections in Hungary. Key takeaways from the latest polling numbers.

Gustavo Ribeiro

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Apr 10, 2026

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14 min read

🍯 Honey pot capitalism

The latest Banco Master revelations verge on the salacious. Electoral court leadership will change hands earlier than expected. The Iran war’s effect on inflation.

Gustavo Ribeiro

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Apr 8, 2026

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14 min read

🍿 Keeping up with the Bolsonaros

Right-wing fault lines lead to Bolsonaro-on-Bolsonaro tensions. Brazil’s latest trade figures. The launch of a new elections observatory.

Gustavo Ribeiro

Brazil's 2026 Elections

🔀 Main takes from Brazil's party-swapping season

Apr 6, 2026

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17 min read

🔀 Main takes from Brazil's party-swapping season

An X-ray of Brazil’s political party transfer window. Ins and outs of the Lula cabinet. State governors and capital mayors get in on the act.

Gustavo Ribeiro

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Apr 1, 2026

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12 min read

🧩 Candidates move in key battleground

Important electoral shifts in Brazil’s biggest bellwether state. TikTok wants to offer financial services in Brazil.

Gustavo Ribeiro

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Mar 31, 2026

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17 min read

🌐 WT-woes for Brazil and US

A WTO impasse between Brazil and the US. Ronaldo Caiado gets the nod to be the PSD’s presidential candidate. The war in Iran worsens Brazil’s inflation expectations.

Gustavo Ribeiro

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Mar 30, 2026

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18 min read

🦅 Inviting foreign interference

Flávio Bolsonaro’s controversial CPAC speech. The end of the INSS inquiry in Congress. Rio de Janeiro’s governor debacle.

Gustavo Ribeiro

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Mar 24, 2026

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15 min read

🤷🏻 Grand opening, grand closing

Ratinho Junior’s short-lived (or nonexistent) presidential bid. Bolsonaro’s chances of moving to house arrest improve. The social security saga is set to continue in Congress.

Gustavo Ribeiro

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Mar 23, 2026

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15 min read

🙋🏻‍♂️ The race gets crowded

Ratinho Júnior set to be 2026’s first “third-way” candidate. Debt is stifling any chance of economic improvements. Lula’s trip to the CELAC meeting in Colombia.

Gustavo Ribeiro

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Mar 11, 2026

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15 min read

🎰 Prediction friction

Prediction markets have gained ground in Brazil, and betting companies aren’t pleased. Our early take on the 2026 elections. Chaos of Will Bank’s collapse highlight the need for better fintech oversight.

Gustavo Ribeiro

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Mar 6, 2026

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17 min read

🎠 Party carousel

Brazilian politics opens its transfer window. Lula can’t help himself with Ukraine quip. The Banco Master scandal could spell bad news for the president.

Gustavo Ribeiro

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Mar 1, 2026

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12 min read

✝️ A Christian struggle

Religious voters have become increasingly decisive in Brazilian politics — as well as a chronic challenge for the left.

Isabela Cruz

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Feb 27, 2026

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14 min read

🐓 Coming home to roost

Lula’s son is to have his tax and banking record scrutinized in the INSS probe. Haddad caves, and is set to run for São Paulo governor. Nuclear power’s short-term future in Brazil is one of delays.

Gustavo Ribeiro

Brazil's 2026 Elections

Feb 26, 2026

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5 min read

Charting Brazil's 2026 Elections #InsiderTalks

In our next edition of #InsiderTalks, experts in public opinion polling and voting trends will discuss the key factors to navigate an electoral year and prepare for October

Isabela Cruz

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