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Brazil’s 2026 Elections

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Brazil's 2026 ElectionsA curated breakdown of the key developments, political dynamics, and perspectives shaping Brazil’s 2026 elections.

🔍 Following the money
Brazil's 2026 Elections

🔍 Following the money

An intelligence-sharing deal with the US. What Brazil can learn from elections in Hungary. Key takeaways from the latest polling numbers.

Gustavo Ribeiro
Gustavo Ribeiro
Apr 13, 2026
🍯 Honey pot capitalism
Banco Master

🍯 Honey pot capitalism

The latest Banco Master revelations verge on the salacious. Electoral court leadership will change hands earlier than expected. The Iran war’s effect on inflation.

Gustavo Ribeiro
Gustavo Ribeiro
Apr 10, 2026
🍿 Keeping up with the Bolsonaros
Brazil's 2026 Elections

🍿 Keeping up with the Bolsonaros

Right-wing fault lines lead to Bolsonaro-on-Bolsonaro tensions. Brazil’s latest trade figures. The launch of a new elections observatory.

Gustavo Ribeiro
Gustavo Ribeiro
Apr 8, 2026
🔀 Main takes from Brazil's party-swapping season
Brazil's 2026 Elections

🔀 Main takes from Brazil's party-swapping season

An X-ray of Brazil’s political party transfer window. Ins and outs of the Lula cabinet. State governors and capital mayors get in on the act.

Gustavo Ribeiro
Gustavo Ribeiro
Apr 6, 2026
🧩 Candidates move in key battleground
Brazil's 2026 Elections

🧩 Candidates move in key battleground

Important electoral shifts in Brazil’s biggest bellwether state. TikTok wants to offer financial services in Brazil.

Gustavo Ribeiro
Gustavo Ribeiro
Apr 1, 2026
🌐 WT-woes for Brazil and US
Brazil's 2026 Elections

🌐 WT-woes for Brazil and US

A WTO impasse between Brazil and the US. Ronaldo Caiado gets the nod to be the PSD’s presidential candidate. The war in Iran worsens Brazil’s inflation expectations.

Gustavo Ribeiro
Gustavo Ribeiro
Mar 31, 2026
🦅 Inviting foreign interference
Brazil's 2026 Elections

🦅 Inviting foreign interference

Flávio Bolsonaro’s controversial CPAC speech. The end of the INSS inquiry in Congress. Rio de Janeiro’s governor debacle.

Gustavo Ribeiro
Gustavo Ribeiro
Mar 30, 2026
🤷🏻 Grand opening, grand closing
Brazil's 2026 Elections

🤷🏻 Grand opening, grand closing

Ratinho Junior’s short-lived (or nonexistent) presidential bid. Bolsonaro’s chances of moving to house arrest improve. The social security saga is set to continue in Congress.

Gustavo Ribeiro
Gustavo Ribeiro
Mar 24, 2026
🙋🏻‍♂️ The race gets crowded
Brazil's 2026 Elections

🙋🏻‍♂️ The race gets crowded

Ratinho Júnior set to be 2026’s first “third-way” candidate. Debt is stifling any chance of economic improvements. Lula’s trip to the CELAC meeting in Colombia.

Gustavo Ribeiro
Gustavo Ribeiro
Mar 23, 2026
🎰 Prediction friction
Banco Master

🎰 Prediction friction

Prediction markets have gained ground in Brazil, and betting companies aren’t pleased. Our early take on the 2026 elections. Chaos of Will Bank’s collapse highlight the need for better fintech oversight.

Gustavo Ribeiro
Gustavo Ribeiro
Mar 11, 2026
🎠 Party carousel
Banco Master

🎠 Party carousel

Brazilian politics opens its transfer window. Lula can’t help himself with Ukraine quip. The Banco Master scandal could spell bad news for the president.

Gustavo Ribeiro
Gustavo Ribeiro
Mar 6, 2026
✝️ A Christian struggle
Guide to Brazil

✝️ A Christian struggle

Religious voters have become increasingly decisive in Brazilian politics — as well as a chronic challenge for the left.

Isabela Cruz
Isabela Cruz
Mar 1, 2026
🐓 Coming home to roost
Brazil's 2026 Elections

🐓 Coming home to roost

Lula’s son is to have his tax and banking record scrutinized in the INSS probe. Haddad caves, and is set to run for São Paulo governor. Nuclear power’s short-term future in Brazil is one of delays.

Gustavo Ribeiro
Gustavo Ribeiro
Feb 27, 2026
Charting Brazil's 2026 Elections #InsiderTalks
Brazil's 2026 Elections

Charting Brazil's 2026 Elections #InsiderTalks

In our next edition of #InsiderTalks, experts in public opinion polling and voting trends will discuss the key factors to navigate an electoral year and prepare for October

Isabela Cruz
Isabela Cruz
Feb 26, 2026
🔍 A Senate side quest
Banco Master

🔍 A Senate side quest

A Senate inquiry wants to take Master investigations into its own hands. Bad news for Lula with the latest Atlas Intel poll. The masterminds of Marielle Franco’s assassination are finally convicted.

Gustavo Ribeiro
Gustavo Ribeiro
Feb 26, 2026
🛢 Keeping an eye on oil
Brazil's 2026 Elections

🛢 Keeping an eye on oil

Lula could broach the subject of Venezuelan oil in his meeting with Trump. Lula and Modi show different (but not opposing) AI approaches. A Freitas-Kassab rift in São Paulo risks more than bruising egos.

Letícia Arcoverde
Gustavo Ribeiro
Letícia Arcoverde, +1
Feb 20, 2026
🎊 Lula’s risky parade
Guide to Brazil

🎊 Lula’s risky parade

A samba school’s adoring tribute to Brazil’s president has the political class watching — and conservatives fuming.

Isabela Cruz
Isabela Cruz
Feb 14, 2026
🧨 It’s starting to hit the fan
Banco Master

🧨 It’s starting to hit the fan

Data from Vorcaro’s phone. Polls bring good news for Flávio. Car Wash-targets seek to rebuild.

Gustavo Ribeiro
Gustavo Ribeiro
Feb 12, 2026
📊 Poll position
Brazil's 2026 Elections

📊 Poll position

Questions are raised about a new opinion poll. Who will be Lula’s running mate? Can Brazil absorb the costs of trimming the workweek?

Gustavo Ribeiro
Gustavo Ribeiro
Feb 11, 2026
🎙️ Podcast: Brasília enters an election year on edge
Banco Master

🎙️ Podcast: Brasília enters an election year on edge

Power plays, legal risks and why timing matters more than ever

Euan Marshall
Euan Marshall
Feb 5, 2026
🇷🇺 Fueling around
Mercosur-EU

🇷🇺 Fueling around

Brazil-Russia commission to meet for the first time since 2015. More back and forth over the EU-Mercosur deal. A look at the PSD power project.

Gustavo Ribeiro
Letícia Arcoverde
Isabela Cruz
Gustavo Ribeiro, +2
Feb 5, 2026
🫴 What Lula wants
Brazil's 2026 Elections

🫴 What Lula wants

Lula’s to-do list for his meeting with Trump. Are markets right to complain about the government’s likely Central Bank pick? Brazil is still vastly unequal, despite advances.

Gustavo Ribeiro
Gustavo Ribeiro
Feb 3, 2026
👑 Brazil’s political dynasties
Guide to Brazil

👑 Brazil’s political dynasties

Brazilian politics has always been a family business. But the Bolsonaros have taken that to another level.

Isabela Cruz
Isabela Cruz
Feb 1, 2026
🗓️ Save the rate cut date
Brazil's 2026 Elections

🗓️ Save the rate cut date

No rate cuts yet, but soon? A Brazilian business delegation embarks on an Africa roadshow. Haddad is accused of not being a team player.

Letícia Arcoverde
Gustavo Ribeiro
Letícia Arcoverde, +1
Jan 29, 2026
🌎 Regional realpolitik
Brazil's 2026 Elections

🌎 Regional realpolitik

How Lula plans to see eye to eye with ideologically opposed leaders in South America. A presidential hopeful changes parties. A data adequacy deal increases cooperation between Brazil and the EU.

Gustavo Ribeiro
Gustavo Ribeiro
Jan 28, 2026
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