2026 ELECTIONS
Futura survey shows not all polls are created equally
Polls can create “bandwagon effects,” researchers say. Photo: Andrii Yalanskyi/Shutterstock
A new opinion poll released on Tuesday shows President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva trailing far behind Senator Flávio Bolsonaro and São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas in simulated runoff scenarios for October's presidential election. The survey, conducted by Futura and commissioned by wealth management firm Apex Partners, suggests the incumbent would lose to both right-wing challengers by comfortable margins.
But before anyone starts planning Lula's political funeral, a closer look at the pollster's track record is in order…
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