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CLIMATE RESILIENCE

Forecasts of ‘Super’ El Niño will be a stress test for Brazil

A severe drought in 2023, made more intense by El Niño, left several Amazonian towns isolated due to low river levels. Photo: Rafa Neddermeyer/EBC

Right now, some 4,500 kilometers away from South America’s western coast, the Pacific Ocean is heating up. Month after month, forecasts have shown increasing temperatures, indications of reducing trade winds, and a massive reservoir of subsurface warmth in the middle of the ocean.

Taken together, these factors point to increasing certainty that an El Niño event is imminent, which could be one of the strongest on record. And communities and economic sectors across Brazil are already bracing for the worst.

Published on Tuesday, the latest forecast data compiled by the International Research Institute (IRI) shows…

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