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Election Observatory
Brazil’s 2026 Elections
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The 2026 campaign officially begins. What the latest polls say. Brazil's slow response to US tariffs.
Party conventions closed on Aug. 5 with 13 presidential candidates on the ballot. Here they are.
Candidacies become official, coalitions fall into place and scandals break.
Party conventions, diplomatic clashes, fears of interference.
The US throws up a trade wall against Brazil. Party conventions begin. The polling fight continues.
Jair Bolsonaro pleads for unity as Michelle goes solo, the Supreme Court freezes assets tied to earmark schemes and electoral courts call in the Army.
The center of gravity of Brazil's 2026 election temporarily shifts to the US.
Candidates court foreign ambassadors, the Bolsonaros air their dirty laundry, and Lula flexes his incumbent muscle.
New polls, special elections, more scandals.
Fiscal bombs, high-profile trials and more polls.
Electoral justice suspends a poll unfavorable to Flávio Bolsonaro. Evangelical event signals religious battlegrounds ahead of October’s vote. Inflation could influence the campaign.
US designates Brazilian crime gangs as “terrorists.” USTR calls for 25% tariffs. Police dig into links between organized crime, fuel and finance. A workweek reduction bill makes progress.
How the Vorcaro leak has affected polls. New entrants into the electoral race. Workweek reduction bill set to make progress.
The Master scandal hits Flávio Bolsonaro. And a new presidential hopeful enters the picture.
The Banco Master scandal gets a new chapter. Lula launches a new initiative.
Lula's historic embarrassment in Congress. A new debt relief program and a Lula meeting with Donald Trump.
New polls and consequential votes in Congress.
Freedom of speech debates, unsettled state-level disputes, electoral lawsuits.
Polls show the Lula-Flávio Bolsonaro race is tighetning
The Brazilian Report and the Brazil Office Alliance launch The International Observatory of Brazil’s 2026 Elections
The main contenders and the most respected polls
